Conference Standings
American Athletic Tournament Projections(14 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | 1637 | 50% | 28% |
| 2 | Tulane | 1639 | 33% | 19% |
| 3 | North Texas | 1616 | 30% | 15% |
| 4 | East Carolina | 1581 | 17% | 8% |
| 5 | Army | 1571 | 18% | 8% |
| 6 | UTSA | 1567 | 16% | 7% |
| 7 | Memphis | 1588 | 14% | 6% |
| 8 | South Florida | 1570 | 10% | 4% |
| 9 | Rice | 1469 | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | Temple | 1450 | 3% | 1% |
| 11 | UAB | 1455 | 2% | 1% |
| 12 | Tulsa | 1436 | 2% | 1% |
| 13 | Fla. Atlantic | 1438 | 2% | — |
| 14 | Charlotte | 1406 | 1% | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
American Athletic Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 54 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Navy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.1–2.9 5–7 W | 6.1–2.9 5–7 W | 32 | 19 | 13 | 8.6 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 2 | Tulane | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.2–2.8 4–6 W | 5.2–2.8 4–6 W | 18 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 3 | North Texas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.1–2.9 4–6 W | 5.1–2.9 4–6 W | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 4 | East Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–2.8 3–5 W | 4.2–2.8 3–5 W | 6.3 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 5 | Army | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–3.5 4–5 W | 4.5–3.5 4–5 W | 8.3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| 6 | Memphis | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–3.1 3–5 W | 3.9–3.1 3–5 W | 5.5 | 8.0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9.3 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| 7 | UTSA | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–3.6 3–5 W | 4.4–3.6 3–5 W | 7.4 | 8.2 | 8.5 | 10 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 9.4 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 8 | South Florida | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.6–3.4 3–5 W | 3.6–3.4 3–5 W | 3.5 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 11 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 10 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| 9 | Temple | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–4.1 2–4 W | 2.9–4.1 2–4 W | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 8.2 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 9.5 | 8.0 |
| 10 | Rice | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–4.8 2–4 W | 3.2–4.8 2–4 W | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 8.4 | 8.7 | 7.7 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 11 | UAB | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–4.3 2–3 W | 2.7–4.3 2–3 W | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 7.5 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Tulsa | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–5.1 2–4 W | 2.9–5.1 2–4 W | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 13 | Fla. Atlantic | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–5.3 2–4 W | 2.7–5.3 2–4 W | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 19 |
| 14 | Charlotte | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.5–5.5 2–3 W | 2.5–5.5 2–3 W | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 8.5 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 26 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
NavyTulaneNorth TexasEast CarolinaArmyMemphisUTSASouth FloridaTempleRiceUABTulsaFla. AtlanticCharlotte