Conference Standings
Big Sky Tournament Projections(13 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana St. | 1760 | 68% | 47% |
| 2 | Montana | 1683 | 48% | 25% |
| 3 | UC Davis | 1614 | 35% | 14% |
| 4 | Southern Utah | 1566 | 19% | 7% |
| 5 | Northern Ariz. | 1512 | 11% | 3% |
| 6 | Idaho St. | 1511 | 6% | 2% |
| 7 | Weber St. | 1457 | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | Eastern Wash. | 1451 | 4% | 1% |
| 9 | Cal Poly | 1405 | 2% | — |
| 10 | Idaho | 1434 | 1% | — |
| 11 | Utah Tech | 1349 | 1% | — |
| 12 | N Colorado | 1378 | — | — |
| 13 | Portland St. | 1332 | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Big Sky Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 55 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.6–1.4 6–7 W | 6.6–1.4 6–7 W | 43 | 25 | 13 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | <1 | <1 | |
| 2 | Montana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.5–2.5 6–7 W | 6.5–2.5 6–7 W | 26 | 22 | 18 | 13 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | <1 |
| 3 | UC Davis | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.7–2.3 5–7 W | 5.7–2.3 5–7 W | 15 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 7.1 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | Southern Utah | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–3.0 4–6 W | 5.0–3.0 4–6 W | 6.9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 5 | Northern Ariz. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–4.0 4–6 W | 5.0–4.0 4–6 W | 4.0 | 7.1 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 7.1 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| 6 | Idaho St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–3.9 3–5 W | 4.1–3.9 3–5 W | 2.0 | 4.1 | 7.1 | 9.2 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Weber St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.3–4.7 3–5 W | 4.3–4.7 3–5 W | 1.3 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 8.3 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| 8 | Eastern Wash. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.8–4.2 3–5 W | 3.8–4.2 3–5 W | 1.0 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 7.8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 3.3 |
| 9 | Cal Poly | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–4.6 2–4 W | 3.4–4.6 2–4 W | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9.0 | 7.1 |
| 10 | Idaho | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.8–5.2 2–4 W | 2.8–5.2 2–4 W | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 11 | N Colorado | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.8–6.2 2–4 W | 2.8–6.2 2–4 W | <1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 9.3 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 19 |
| 12 | Utah Tech | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–7.1 2–4 W | 2.9–7.1 2–4 W | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 7.6 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 25 |
| 13 | Portland St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.1–5.9 1–3 W | 2.1–5.9 1–3 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 9.3 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Montana St.MontanaUC DavisSouthern UtahNorthern Ariz.Idaho St.Weber St.Eastern Wash.Cal PolyIdahoN ColoradoUtah TechPortland St.