Conference Standings

DivisionFBSFCSD2D3
Big Ten Tournament Projections(18 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloFinal🏆 Win
1Ohio St.179044%29%
2Oregon176335%22%
3Indiana168719%10%
4Penn St.164617%7%
5Michigan167713%6%
6Washington165013%6%
7Illinois163111%5%
8Iowa164710%4%
9Southern California163110%4%
10Minnesota16029%3%
11Wisconsin15355%1%
12Rutgers15343%1%
13UCLA15103%1%
14Northwestern15512%1%
15Michigan St15032%1%
16Nebraska15452%—
17Maryland14902%—
18Purdue1440——

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

Big Ten Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 73 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Preseason

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr123456789101112131415161718
1Ohio St.0–00–0
5.8–2.2
5–7 W
5.8–2.2
5–7 W
2717138.97.56.14.93.72.92.92.11.31.00.70.60.30.2<1
2Oregon0–00–0
5.5–2.5
5–6 W
5.5–2.5
5–6 W
191612108.17.55.84.53.83.12.91.81.51.51.10.80.30.3
3Indiana0–00–0
4.9–3.1
4–6 W
4.9–3.1
4–6 W
109.48.89.48.38.17.55.96.05.64.83.73.62.92.41.51.40.5
4Penn St.0–00–0
4.7–3.3
4–6 W
4.7–3.3
4–6 W
7.68.99.18.67.87.76.66.26.46.05.14.14.04.23.12.11.60.9
5Michigan0–00–0
4.5–3.5
4–5 W
4.5–3.5
4–5 W
5.77.57.47.98.17.66.77.26.66.55.24.84.54.33.63.12.21.2
6Washington0–00–0
4.4–3.6
3–5 W
4.4–3.6
3–5 W
5.37.47.27.57.57.06.56.36.86.25.85.35.24.63.63.32.61.8
7Illinois0–00–0
4.4–3.6
4–5 W
4.4–3.6
4–5 W
5.45.97.06.97.28.07.37.06.66.66.25.74.74.33.83.02.61.8
8Iowa0–00–0
4.3–3.7
3–5 W
4.3–3.7
3–5 W
4.55.46.66.57.16.56.56.37.27.66.45.85.45.44.34.02.81.8
9Southern California0–00–0
4.2–3.8
3–5 W
4.2–3.8
3–5 W
4.25.66.36.57.26.96.76.16.96.85.86.15.75.34.53.93.12.4
10Minnesota0–00–0
4.2–3.8
3–5 W
4.2–3.8
3–5 W
3.75.26.06.27.06.46.66.86.87.56.45.65.95.44.94.13.42.3
11Wisconsin0–00–0
3.9–4.1
3–5 W
3.9–4.1
3–5 W
2.03.34.24.95.46.06.66.87.06.76.55.97.16.95.95.55.04.3
12Rutgers0–00–0
3.5–4.5
3–4 W
3.5–4.5
3–4 W
1.21.93.13.74.34.94.75.56.66.86.46.67.88.47.57.66.76.3
13Northwestern0–00–0
3.2–4.8
2–4 W
3.2–4.8
2–4 W
0.91.42.02.83.53.64.25.55.95.95.87.18.37.78.19.29.28.9
14UCLA0–00–0
3.7–5.3
3–5 W
3.7–5.3
3–5 W
1.01.82.42.62.53.45.45.63.63.67.88.76.46.3109.39.211
15Maryland0–00–0
3.1–4.9
2–4 W
3.1–4.9
2–4 W
0.71.21.52.22.83.43.84.75.55.66.26.48.08.78.4101011
16Nebraska0–00–0
3.0–5.0
2–4 W
3.0–5.0
2–4 W
0.71.21.62.12.62.93.54.75.35.25.67.18.28.88.7101110
17Michigan St0–00–0
3.4–5.6
2–4 W
3.4–5.6
2–4 W
0.80.91.42.21.62.64.74.52.83.56.68.75.56.310101216
18Purdue0–00–0
2.4–5.6
2–3 W
2.4–5.6
2–3 W
0.10.30.50.91.51.42.02.73.33.74.25.47.28.210121720

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

Ohio St.OregonIndianaPenn St.MichiganWashingtonIllinoisIowaSouthern CaliforniaMinnesotaWisconsinRutgersNorthwesternUCLAMarylandNebraskaMichigan StPurdue
123456789101112131415161718PreseasonPosition