Conference Standings

DivisionFBSFCSD2D3
Conference USA Tournament Projections(10 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloFinal🏆 Win
1Jacksonville St.159739%22%
2Western KY157535%19%
3Delaware154727%14%
4Kennesaw St153022%11%
5Missouri St.153121%11%
6FIU148815%7%
7Liberty149714%6%
8Sam Houston145811%4%
9New Mexico St14399%4%
10Middle Tenn.14177%2%

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

Conference USA Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 39 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Preseason

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr12345678910
1Jacksonville St.0–00–0
5.0–3.0
4–6 W
5.0–3.0
4–6 W
221714129.37.86.85.34.02.7
2Western KY0–00–0
4.8–3.2
4–6 W
4.8–3.2
4–6 W
20151311108.67.16.25.73.9
3Delaware0–00–0
4.4–3.6
3–6 W
4.4–3.6
3–6 W
1413121110108.88.17.45.8
4Kennesaw St0–00–0
4.2–3.8
3–5 W
4.2–3.8
3–5 W
111111111010109.48.67.1
5Missouri St.0–00–0
4.1–3.9
3–5 W
4.1–3.9
3–5 W
11101111111110108.47.0
6FIU0–00–0
3.4–3.6
2–4 W
3.4–3.6
2–4 W
6.28.9101212111211107.4
7Liberty0–00–0
3.4–3.6
2–4 W
3.4–3.6
2–4 W
5.78.6101111111211108.1
8Sam Houston0–00–0
3.5–4.5
2–5 W
3.5–4.5
2–5 W
4.86.77.88.1101111121414
9New Mexico St0–00–0
3.2–4.8
2–4 W
3.2–4.8
2–4 W
4.05.46.47.08.59.411131521
10Middle Tenn.0–00–0
2.9–5.1
2–4 W
2.9–5.1
2–4 W
2.54.05.16.07.69.412141723

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

Jacksonville St.Western KYDelawareKennesaw StMissouri St.FIULibertySam HoustonNew Mexico StMiddle Tenn.
12345678910PreseasonPosition