Conference Standings

DivisionFBSFCSD2D3
Mountain West Tournament Projections(10 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloFinal🏆 Win
1N Dakota St174077%58%
2UNLV161031%14%
3Hawai'i154925%9%
4New Mexico154821%8%
5Air Force149915%4%
6San José St14618%2%
7Northern Illinois14478%2%
8Wyoming14587%2%
9UTEP13935%1%
10Nevada14123%1%

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

Mountain West Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 38 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Preseason

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr12345678910
1N Dakota St0–00–0
6.2–1.8
6–7 W
6.2–1.8
6–7 W
5719106.03.12.11.10.50.3<1
2UNLV0–00–0
4.2–2.8
3–5 W
4.2–2.8
3–5 W
12191614118.77.95.13.52.0
3Hawai'i0–00–0
4.5–3.5
4–5 W
4.5–3.5
4–5 W
1015151212118.17.45.64.1
4New Mexico0–00–0
3.8–3.2
3–5 W
3.8–3.2
3–5 W
7.41414151211107.05.73.7
5Air Force0–00–0
3.9–4.1
3–5 W
3.9–4.1
3–5 W
4.8101210121111119.38.2
6Northern Illinois0–00–0
3.1–3.9
2–4 W
3.1–3.9
2–4 W
1.96.08.412111413111310
7San José St0–00–0
3.4–4.6
2–4 W
3.4–4.6
2–4 W
2.45.57.68.8111111141415
8Wyoming0–00–0
3.3–4.7
2–4 W
3.3–4.7
2–4 W
1.75.26.97.9111112141516
9UTEP0–00–0
2.7–4.3
2–4 W
2.7–4.3
2–4 W
1.03.65.58.48.41214141717
10Nevada0–00–0
2.8–5.2
2–4 W
2.8–5.2
2–4 W
0.82.74.55.38.78.512151825

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

N Dakota StUNLVHawai'iNew MexicoAir ForceNorthern IllinoisSan José StWyomingUTEPNevada
12345678910PreseasonPosition