Conference Standings
Big 12 Tournament Projections(16 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BYU | 1693 | 32% | 20% |
| 2 | Texas Tech | 1661 | 31% | 17% |
| 3 | Utah | 1645 | 18% | 10% |
| 4 | Iowa State | 1631 | 18% | 9% |
| 5 | TCU | 1640 | 17% | 9% |
| 6 | Arizona St. | 1607 | 19% | 9% |
| 7 | Houston | 1601 | 19% | 8% |
| 8 | Kansas St | 1594 | 11% | 5% |
| 9 | Arizona | 1598 | 10% | 5% |
| 10 | Baylor | 1543 | 5% | 2% |
| 11 | West Virginia | 1529 | 4% | 2% |
| 12 | Kansas | 1522 | 4% | 1% |
| 13 | Cincinnati | 1540 | 3% | 1% |
| 14 | UCF | 1504 | 4% | 1% |
| 15 | Colorado | 1490 | 3% | 1% |
| 16 | Oklahoma St. | 1443 | 1% | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Big 12 Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection Β· 66 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BYU | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.3β2.8 4β6 W | 5.3β2.8 4β6 W | 18 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 2 | Texas Tech | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.2β2.8 4β6 W | 5.2β2.8 4β6 W | 17 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 9.4 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 3 | Arizona St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.7β3.3 4β6 W | 4.7β3.3 4β6 W | 9.4 | 10 | 10 | 9.3 | 9.4 | 8.4 | 6.7 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 4 | Utah | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.6β3.4 4β6 W | 4.6β3.4 4β6 W | 8.9 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 5 | Iowa State | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.6β3.4 4β6 W | 4.6β3.4 4β6 W | 8.4 | 10 | 8.7 | 9.1 | 8.7 | 7.4 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 6 | Houston | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.1β3.9 4β6 W | 5.1β3.9 4β6 W | 10 | 9.0 | 9.2 | 8.2 | 6.3 | 8.6 | 10 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| 7 | TCU | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.5β3.5 4β5 W | 4.5β3.5 4β5 W | 8.3 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 7.4 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 8 | Kansas St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.2β3.8 3β5 W | 4.2β3.8 3β5 W | 5.3 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 6.7 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 9 | Arizona | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.0β4.0 3β5 W | 4.0β4.0 3β5 W | 4.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 3.6 |
| 10 | Kansas | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.4β4.6 3β4 W | 3.4β4.6 3β4 W | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 8.7 | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| 11 | West Virginia | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.8β5.2 3β5 W | 3.8β5.2 3β5 W | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 12 | Baylor | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.8β5.2 3β5 W | 3.8β5.2 3β5 W | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 5.7 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 6.4 | 9.1 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Cincinnati | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.2β4.8 2β4 W | 3.2β4.8 2β4 W | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 8.1 | 10 | 9.3 | 9.4 | 11 | 9.4 |
| 14 | UCF | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.7β5.3 3β5 W | 3.7β5.3 3β5 W | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 6.4 | 8.6 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 15 | Colorado | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.1β4.9 2β4 W | 3.1β4.9 2β4 W | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| 16 | Oklahoma St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.7β5.3 2β4 W | 2.7β5.3 2β4 W | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 12 | 15 | 19 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
BYUTexas TechArizona St.UtahIowa StateHoustonTCUKansas StArizonaKansasWest VirginiaBaylorCincinnatiUCFColoradoOklahoma St.