Conference Standings
Big Sky Tournament Projections(2 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana St. | 1876 | 81% | 58% |
| 2 | Montana | 1771 | 56% | 25% |
| 3 | UC Davis | 1705 | 36% | 13% |
| 4 | Southern Utah | 1573 | 10% | 2% |
| 5 | Northern Ariz. | 1528 | 6% | 1% |
| 6 | Idaho | 1488 | 4% | β |
| 7 | Idaho St. | 1456 | 2% | β |
| 8 | Weber St. | 1439 | 2% | β |
| 9 | Eastern Wash. | 1426 | 2% | β |
| 10 | Cal Poly | 1338 | β | β |
| 11 | Portland St. | 1277 | β | β |
| 12 | N Colorado | 1256 | β | β |
| 13 | Utah Tech | 1250 | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
Big Sky Standings
2 qualify for championship gameThrough 2026-06-02 Β· 55 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.2β0.8 7β8 W | 7.2β0.8 7β8 W | 51 | 27 | 13 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | <1 | <1 | ||||
| 2 | Montana | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.0β2.0 6β8 W | 7.0β2.0 6β8 W | 25 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | <1 | <1 | <1 | |
| 3 | UC Davis | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.4β1.6 6β7 W | 6.4β1.6 6β7 W | 18 | 27 | 24 | 15 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | |
| 4 | Southern Utah | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.1β2.9 4β6 W | 5.1β2.9 4β6 W | 3.3 | 8.3 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 13 | 10 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | Northern Ariz. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.5β3.5 5β6 W | 5.5β3.5 5β6 W | 2.7 | 6.1 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 9.3 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 6 | Weber St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.5β4.5 4β5 W | 4.5β4.5 4β5 W | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 9.0 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Eastern Wash. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.8β4.2 3β5 W | 3.8β4.2 3β5 W | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| 8 | Idaho St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.4β4.6 3β4 W | 3.4β4.6 3β4 W | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 8.3 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 |
| 9 | Idaho | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.3β4.7 2β4 W | 3.3β4.7 2β4 W | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 5.7 | 2.7 |
| 10 | Cal Poly | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.0β5.0 2β4 W | 3.0β5.0 2β4 W | <1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 5.8 |
| 11 | Portland St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 1.8β6.2 1β2 W | 1.8β6.2 1β2 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 8.1 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 21 | |
| 12 | Utah Tech | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.2β7.8 1β3 W | 2.2β7.8 1β3 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 35 |
| 13 | N Colorado | 0β0 | 0β0 | 1.9β7.1 1β3 W | 1.9β7.1 1β3 W | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 6.7 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 29 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Montana State University-BozemanUniversity of MontanaUniversity of California, DavisSouthern Utah UniversityNorthern Arizona UniversityWeber State UniversityEastern Washington UniversityIdaho State UniversityUniversity of IdahoCalifornia Polytechnic State UniversityPortland State UniversityUtah Tech UniversityUniversity of Northern Colorado