Conference Standings
Big Ten Tournament Projections(2 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Ohio State University | 2084 | 75% | 53% |
| 2 | University of Oregon | 2013 | 55% | 28% |
| 3 | University of Michigan | 1884 | 21% | 7% |
| 4 | Indiana University, Bloomington | 1846 | 14% | 4% |
| 5 | University of Southern California | 1790 | 8% | 2% |
| 6 | University of Washington | 1788 | 8% | 2% |
| 7 | Pennsylvania State University | 1769 | 6% | 1% |
| 8 | University of Iowa | 1761 | 6% | 1% |
| 9 | University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign | 1726 | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | University of Minnesota, Twin Cities | 1679 | 2% | β |
| 11 | University of Nebraska-Lincoln | 1601 | 1% | β |
| 12 | University of Wisconsin-Madison | 1594 | β | β |
| 13 | Northwestern University | 1582 | β | β |
| 14 | Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick | 1574 | β | β |
| 15 | University of California, Los Angeles | 1540 | β | β |
| 16 | Michigan State University | 1508 | β | β |
| 17 | University of Maryland, College Park | 1477 | β | β |
| 18 | Purdue University | 1383 | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
Big Ten Standings
2 qualify for championship gameThrough 2026-06-02 Β· 73 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Ohio State University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.6β2.4 | 13.6β2.4 | 48 | 23 | 12 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | |||
| 2 | University of Oregon | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.5β3.5 | 12.5β3.5 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 7.9 | 5.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | |
| 3 | Indiana University, Bloomington | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.3β5.7 | 10.3β5.7 | 6.6 | 9.2 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 4 | University of Michigan | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.1β5.9 | 10.1β5.9 | 5.7 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8.3 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | Pennsylvania State University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.0β6.0 | 10.0β6.0 | 4.1 | 8.2 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9.3 | 7.8 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 6 | University of Southern California | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.5β6.5 | 9.5β6.5 | 3.2 | 6.4 | 8.6 | 9.2 | 10 | 10 | 9.0 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 7 | University of Washington | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.3β6.7 | 9.3β6.7 | 2.8 | 6.0 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 10 | 10 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 8 | University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.0β7.0 | 9.0β7.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 7.3 | 8.4 | 10 | 10 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 9 | University of Iowa | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.6β7.4 | 8.6β7.4 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 7.9 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 8.6 | 10 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 10 | University of Minnesota, Twin Cities | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.2β7.8 | 8.2β7.8 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 9.2 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| 11 | University of Wisconsin-Madison | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.2β7.8 | 8.2β7.8 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.6β9.4 | 6.6β9.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 7.7 | 8.1 | 9.0 | 11 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| 13 | University of California, Los Angeles | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.6β11.4 | 6.6β11.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 8.4 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9.4 | 8.7 |
| 14 | University of Nebraska-Lincoln | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.3β10.7 | 5.3β10.7 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 7.3 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7.3 |
| 15 | Northwestern University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.2β10.8 | 5.2β10.8 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 8.9 |
| 16 | University of Maryland, College Park | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.9β11.1 | 4.9β11.1 | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 7.6 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 17 | Michigan State University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.2β12.8 | 5.2β12.8 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Purdue University | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.9β13.1 | 2.9β13.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 34 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
The Ohio State UniversityUniversity of OregonIndiana University, BloomingtonUniversity of MichiganPennsylvania State UniversityUniversity of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of WashingtonUniversity of Illinois Urbana-ChampaignUniversity of IowaUniversity of Minnesota, Twin CitiesUniversity of Wisconsin-MadisonRutgers, The State University of New Jersey, New BrunswickUniversity of California, Los AngelesUniversity of Nebraska-LincolnNorthwestern UniversityUniversity of Maryland, College ParkMichigan State UniversityPurdue University