Conference Standings

Conference

Seed	Team	Elo	Final	🏆 Win
1	Tennessee Tech	1601	52%	30%
2	Mercer	1610	47%	29%
3	ETSU	1539	29%	13%
4	Western Caro.	1530	22%	10%
5	Wofford	1498	18%	7%
6	Chattanooga	1477	12%	5%
7	Furman	1463	12%	5%
8	The Citadel	1408	6%	2%
9	Samford	1337	1%	—
10	VMI	1283	1%	—

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection · 36 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#	Team	Conf	Overall	Proj Conf	Proj Ovr	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
1	Tennessee Tech	0–0	0–0	5.5–2.5 5–6 W	5.5–2.5 5–6 W	32	20	15	10	7.4	6.8	3.8	2.8	1.5	0.6
2	Mercer	0–0	0–0	4.8–2.2 4–6 W	4.8–2.2 4–6 W	26	21	16	12	10	5.9	4.4	2.5	1.4	0.6
3	ETSU	0–0	0–0	4.3–2.7 3–5 W	4.3–2.7 3–5 W	13	16	15	14	13	10	8.3	5.3	3.5	1.4
4	Western Caro.	0–0	0–0	3.9–3.1 3–5 W	3.9–3.1 3–5 W	10	12	13	14	13	12	11	7.5	5.2	3.0
5	Wofford	0–0	0–0	3.8–3.2 3–5 W	3.8–3.2 3–5 W	7.3	11	13	13	14	12	11	9.3	6.1	3.5
6	Furman	0–0	0–0	3.5–3.5 3–4 W	3.5–3.5 3–4 W	4.4	7.4	10	13	13	14	13	11	8.5	5.4
7	Chattanooga	0–0	0–0	3.8–4.2 3–5 W	3.8–4.2 3–5 W	5.0	7.2	10	8.8	12	13	12	13	11	7.6
8	The Citadel	0–0	0–0	2.8–4.2 2–4 W	2.8–4.2 2–4 W	2.0	3.7	5.9	8.6	10	13	15	16	15	11
9	Samford	0–0	0–0	2.0–5.0 1–3 W	2.0–5.0 1–3 W	0.4	1.1	1.9	3.2	4.6	8.0	12	18	24	27
10	VMI	0–0	0–0	1.7–5.3 1–2 W	1.7–5.3 1–2 W	0.3	0.6	1.2	2.3	3.3	6.0	9.5	14	23	39

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

Tennessee TechMercerETSUWestern Caro.WoffordFurmanChattanoogaThe CitadelSamfordVMI