Conference Standings
Sun Belt Tournament Projections(14 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison | 1681 | 42% |
| 2 | Arkansas St | 1549 | 27% |
| 3 | Louisiana | 1540 | 27% |
| 4 | Troy | 1567 | 24% |
| 5 | Old Dominion | 1610 | 20% |
| 6 | Marshall | 1550 | 13% |
| 7 | South Alabama | 1493 | 11% |
| 8 | GA Southern | 1560 | 10% |
| 9 | App State | 1503 | 8% |
| 10 | Southern Miss | 1483 | 7% |
| 11 | Coastal Carolina | 1518 | 7% |
| 12 | UL Monroe | 1411 | 4% |
| 13 | Georgia St | 1410 | 1% |
| 14 | Louisiana Tech | 1521 | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Sun Belt Standings
Division winner qualifies for championship gamePreseason projection · 51 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities
East Division
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Madison | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.6–2.4 5–7 W | 5.6–2.4 5–7 W | 28 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 7.7 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 2 | Old Dominion | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.3–2.7 3–5 W | 4.3–2.7 3–5 W | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8.6 | 10 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 3 | Marshall | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–3.1 3–5 W | 3.9–3.1 3–5 W | 6.8 | 8.4 | 10 | 10 | 9.1 | 10 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 4 | GA Southern | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–3.5 2–5 W | 3.5–3.5 2–5 W | 5.1 | 6.7 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 7.7 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 4.8 |
| 5 | App State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–3.6 2–4 W | 3.4–3.6 2–4 W | 3.4 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 10 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 5.6 |
| 6 | Coastal Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–3.9 2–4 W | 3.1–3.9 2–4 W | 3.2 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 7.1 |
| 7 | Georgia St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.0–5.0 1–3 W | 2.0–5.0 1–3 W | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 23 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
West Division
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkansas St | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.6–3.4 3–6 W | 4.6–3.4 3–6 W | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| 2 | Louisiana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–3.5 3–6 W | 4.5–3.5 3–6 W | 10 | 11 | 9.2 | 10 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| 3 | Troy | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–3.6 3–6 W | 4.4–3.6 3–6 W | 10 | 10 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 8.6 | 6.9 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| 4 | South Alabama | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–3.8 2–4 W | 3.2–3.8 2–4 W | 3.0 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 6.9 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 9.2 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 7.1 |
| 5 | Southern Miss | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.8–4.2 2–4 W | 2.8–4.2 2–4 W | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 5.4 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 6 | UL Monroe | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–4.7 1–3 W | 2.3–4.7 1–3 W | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 7.7 | 8.1 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 19 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
James MadisonOld DominionArkansas StLouisianaTroyMarshallGA SouthernLouisiana TechApp StateSouth AlabamaCoastal CarolinaSouthern MissUL MonroeGeorgia St