Conference Standings
SWAC Tournament Projections(12 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama St. | 1612 | 57% | 35% |
| 2 | Jackson St. | 1592 | 44% | 25% |
| 3 | Prairie View | 1546 | 39% | 18% |
| 4 | Bethune-Cookman | 1474 | 13% | 5% |
| 5 | Texas Southern | 1459 | 12% | 4% |
| 6 | Grambling | 1466 | 12% | 4% |
| 7 | Alcorn | 1462 | 10% | 4% |
| 8 | Florida A&M | 1436 | 7% | 2% |
| 9 | Alabama A&M | 1384 | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | Ark.-Pine Bluff | 1347 | 1% | β |
| 11 | Southern U. | 1362 | 1% | β |
| 12 | Mississippi Val. | 1316 | 1% | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
SWAC Standings
2 qualify for championship gamePreseason projection Β· 44 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.8β2.2 5β7 W | 5.8β2.2 5β7 W | 35 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 2 | Jackson St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.5β2.5 5β6 W | 5.5β2.5 5β6 W | 24 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 3 | Prairie View | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.3β2.7 4β6 W | 5.3β2.7 4β6 W | 19 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 8.6 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 4 | Texas Southern | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.8β3.2 3β5 W | 3.8β3.2 3β5 W | 4.5 | 7.5 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 2.5 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.7β3.3 3β5 W | 3.7β3.3 3β5 W | 5.1 | 7.7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8.4 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Grambling | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.7β3.3 3β5 W | 3.7β3.3 3β5 W | 4.3 | 7.3 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Alcorn | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.5β3.5 3β4 W | 3.5β3.5 3β4 W | 3.5 | 6.5 | 8.6 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 3.7 |
| 8 | Florida A&M | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.3β3.7 3β4 W | 3.3β3.7 3β4 W | 2.4 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8.9 | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Alabama A&M | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.7β4.3 2β4 W | 2.7β4.3 2β4 W | 1.1 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Southern U. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.7β5.3 2β3 W | 2.7β5.3 2β3 W | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 8.2 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 22 |
| 11 | Ark.-Pine Bluff | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.1β4.9 1β3 W | 2.1β4.9 1β3 W | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 7.2 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 22 |
| 12 | Mississippi Val. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 1.9β5.1 1β3 W | 1.9β5.1 1β3 W | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 12 | 16 | 21 | 27 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach championship game).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Alabama St.Jackson St.Prairie ViewTexas SouthernBethune-CookmanGramblingAlcornFlorida A&MAlabama A&MSouthern U.Ark.-Pine BluffMississippi Val.