2026 Big West Volleyball Championship
π Big West
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
Big West Tournament Projections(12 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Poly | 1931 | 99% | 96% | 75% | 51% |
| 2 | UC Santa Barbara | 1784 | 97% | 80% | 44% | 20% |
| 3 | Long Beach St. | 1766 | 96% | 76% | 38% | 15% |
| 4 | Utah Valley | 1637 | 79% | 46% | 15% | 5% |
| 5 | Sacramento St. | 1635 | 79% | 44% | 15% | 5% |
| 6 | CSUN | 1549 | 74% | 32% | 8% | 2% |
| 7 | UC Irvine | 1518 | 52% | 21% | 5% | 1% |
| 8 | UC Riverside | 1336 | 7% | 2% | β | β |
| 9 | UC San Diego | 1346 | 10% | 2% | β | β |
| 10 | CSU Bakersfield | 1255 | 5% | 1% | β | β |
| 11 | California Baptist | 1259 | 2% | β | β | β |
| 12 | Cal St. Fullerton | 1148 | β | β | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Big West Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 108 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Poly | 0β0 | 0β0 | 15.7β2.3 15β17 W | 15.7β2.3 15β17 W | 61 | 22 | 10 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | <1 | ||||
| 2 | UC Santa Barbara | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.6β4.4 12β15 W | 13.6β4.4 12β15 W | 17 | 27 | 22 | 16 | 10 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | <1 | ||
| 3 | Long Beach St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.4β4.6 12β15 W | 13.4β4.6 12β15 W | 14 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | <1 | ||
| 4 | Utah Valley | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.2β6.8 10β13 W | 11.2β6.8 10β13 W | 3.2 | 8.8 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 12 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 5 | Sacramento St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.1β6.9 9β13 W | 11.1β6.9 9β13 W | 3.3 | 8.7 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | <1 |
| 6 | CSUN | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.8β7.2 9β13 W | 10.8β7.2 9β13 W | 1.4 | 5.6 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 7 | UC Irvine | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.4β8.6 8β11 W | 9.4β8.6 8β11 W | 0.5 | 3.4 | 6.0 | 9.4 | 14 | 18 | 23 | 14 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 8 | UC San Diego | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.8β12.2 4β7 W | 5.8β12.2 4β7 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 7.1 |
| 9 | UC Riverside | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.4β12.6 4β7 W | 5.4β12.6 4β7 W | <1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 10 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 8.2 | |
| 10 | CSU Bakersfield | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.0β13.0 3β7 W | 5.0β13.0 3β7 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 7.3 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 14 | |
| 11 | California Baptist | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.1β13.9 3β5 W | 4.1β13.9 3β5 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 26 | 20 | |
| 12 | Cal St. Fullerton | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.5β15.5 1β4 W | 2.5β15.5 1β4 W | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 6.6 | 14 | 26 | 50 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Cal PolyUC Santa BarbaraLong Beach St.Utah ValleySacramento St.CSUNUC IrvineUC San DiegoUC RiversideCSU BakersfieldCalifornia BaptistCal St. Fullerton