2026 Big West Volleyball Championship
π Big West
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
Big West Tournament Projections(6 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Poly | 1916 | 98% | 88% | 88% | 62% |
| 2 | UC Davis | 1800 | 90% | 67% | 42% | 17% |
| 3 | UC Santa Barbara | 1770 | 87% | 49% | 28% | 10% |
| 4 | Long Beach St. | 1752 | 84% | 45% | 24% | 8% |
| 5 | Utah Valley | 1632 | 57% | 18% | 7% | 1% |
| 6 | Sacramento St. | 1630 | 56% | 16% | 6% | 1% |
| 7 | Hawai'i | 1574 | 40% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | CSUN | 1540 | 32% | 4% | 1% | β |
| 9 | UC Irvine | 1509 | 25% | 3% | 1% | β |
| 10 | CSB | 1500 | 22% | 2% | 1% | β |
| 11 | UC San Diego | 1336 | 4% | β | β | β |
| 12 | UC Riverside | 1330 | 3% | β | β | β |
| 13 | California Baptist | 1256 | 1% | β | β | β |
| 14 | CSU Bakersfield | 1248 | 1% | β | β | β |
| 15 | Cal St. Fullerton | 1146 | β | β | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
Big West Standings
6 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-08 Β· 18 games remainingStandings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.2β6.8 7β9 W | 8.2β6.8 7β9 W | 99 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | |||||||||||
| 2 | UC Davis | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.8β2.2 3β3 W | 2.8β2.2 3β3 W | 0.2 | 84 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| 3 | Cal Poly | 0β0 | 0β0 | 1.7β0.3 1β2 W | 1.7β0.3 1β2 W | 7.9 | 40 | 20 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | ||||
| 4 | UC Santa Barbara | 0β0 | 0β0 | 1.4β0.6 1β2 W | 1.4β0.6 1β2 W | <1 | 4.5 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.3 | |||
| 5 | Utah Valley | 0β0 | 0β0 | 1.0β1.0 1β1 W | 1.0β1.0 1β1 W | 2.1 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4.1 | ||||
| 6 | Long Beach St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.6β0.4 0β1 W | 0.6β0.4 0β1 W | 3.8 | 16 | 22 | 15 | 8.0 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 10 | |||||
| 7 | UC Irvine | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.7β1.3 0β1 W | 0.7β1.3 0β1 W | 1.0 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 6.6 | ||||
| 8 | CSUN | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.4β0.6 0β1 W | 0.4β0.6 0β1 W | 2.3 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 8.2 | 8.3 | 10 | 8.9 | 12 | 15 | |||||
| 9 | CSB | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.4β0.6 0β1 W | 0.4β0.6 0β1 W | 2.0 | 8.9 | 13 | 10 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 16 | |||||
| 10 | UC San Diego | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.3β1.7 0β1 W | 0.3β1.7 0β1 W | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 6.3 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 12 | ||||
| 11 | UC Riverside | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.3β1.7 0β1 W | 0.3β1.7 0β1 W | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 12 | ||||
| 12 | Hawai'i | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.2β0.8 0β0 W | 0.2β0.8 0β0 W | 0.9 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 22 | |||||
| 13 | California Baptist | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.0β0.0 0β0 W | 0.0β0.0 0β0 W | 34 | 33 | 33 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Cal St. Fullerton | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.0β0.0 0β0 W | 0.0β0.0 0β0 W | 33 | 34 | 33 | ||||||||||||
| 15 | CSU Bakersfield | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.0β0.0 0β0 W | 0.0β0.0 0β0 W | 33 | 33 | 34 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Sacramento St.Cal PolyUC Santa BarbaraUC DavisLong Beach St.Utah ValleyUC IrvineCSUNUC San DiegoUC RiversideHawai'iCalifornia BaptistCal St. FullertonCSU Bakersfield