2026 OVC Volleyball Tournament
π Ohio Valley
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Ohio Valley Tournament Projections(9 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Ill. | 1623 | 99% | 90% | 62% | 37% |
| 2 | Morehead St. | 1565 | 99% | 87% | 53% | 28% |
| 3 | Southeast Mo. St. | 1501 | 99% | 77% | 36% | 16% |
| 4 | Southern Ind. | 1482 | 99% | 73% | 33% | 14% |
| 5 | Lindenwood | 1323 | 99% | 35% | 10% | 3% |
| 6 | SIUE | 1233 | 98% | 20% | 4% | 1% |
| 7 | Western Ill. | 1159 | 94% | 13% | 2% | β |
| 8 | UT Martin | 1052 | 74% | 4% | β | β |
| 9 | Tennessee St. | 902 | 35% | 1% | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Ohio Valley Standings
8 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 72 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Ill. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.0β3.0 12β14 W | 13.0β3.0 12β14 W | 42 | 29 | 16 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | Morehead St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.4β3.6 11β14 W | 12.4β3.6 11β14 W | 32 | 27 | 21 | 14 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | <1 | |
| 3 | Southeast Mo. St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.2β4.8 10β13 W | 11.2β4.8 10β13 W | 14 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 11 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | |
| 4 | Southern Ind. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.8β5.2 9β12 W | 10.8β5.2 9β12 W | 11 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 5 | Lindenwood | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.9β8.1 6β9 W | 7.9β8.1 6β9 W | 1.3 | 3.6 | 8.0 | 17 | 33 | 21 | 11 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| 6 | SIUE | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.4β9.6 5β8 W | 6.4β9.6 5β8 W | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 9.4 | 2.1 |
| 7 | Western Ill. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.4β10.6 4β7 W | 5.4β10.6 4β7 W | <1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | 17 | 5.7 |
| 8 | UT Martin | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.2β12.8 2β4 W | 3.2β12.8 2β4 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 8.1 | 20 | 43 | 26 | |
| 9 | Tennessee St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 1.8β14.2 1β3 W | 1.8β14.2 1β3 W | <1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 26 | 65 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Eastern Ill.Morehead St.Southeast Mo. St.Southern Ind.LindenwoodSIUEWestern Ill.UT MartinTennessee St.