2026 SoCon Volleyball Tournament
π Southern
Play-In
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Southern Tournament Projections(10 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | R1 | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSU | 1700 | 99% | 99% | 85% | 61% | 39% |
| 2 | Wofford | 1624 | 99% | 99% | 75% | 46% | 25% |
| 3 | Furman | 1540 | 99% | 98% | 59% | 28% | 12% |
| 4 | Samford | 1473 | 99% | 95% | 46% | 19% | 8% |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 1435 | 98% | 91% | 36% | 13% | 5% |
| 6 | UNC Greensboro | 1433 | 99% | 92% | 35% | 13% | 5% |
| 7 | Tennessee Tech | 1418 | 98% | 90% | 33% | 12% | 4% |
| 8 | Mercer | 1390 | 98% | 86% | 26% | 8% | 3% |
| 9 | Western Caro. | 1208 | 72% | 37% | 5% | 1% | β |
| 10 | The Citadel | 1083 | 36% | 12% | 1% | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Southern Standings
9 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 90 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSU | 0β0 | 0β0 | 14.6β3.4 13β16 W | 14.6β3.4 13β16 W | 53 | 24 | 11 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | Wofford | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.1β4.9 12β15 W | 13.1β4.9 12β15 W | 25 | 29 | 19 | 12 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | <1 |
| 3 | Furman | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.4β6.6 10β13 W | 11.4β6.6 10β13 W | 9.3 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 4 | Samford | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.1β7.9 8β12 W | 10.1β7.9 8β12 W | 5.4 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 5 | UNC Greensboro | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.9β9.1 7β11 W | 8.9β9.1 7β11 W | 2.2 | 5.3 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 5.4 | 1.0 |
| 6 | Chattanooga | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.9β9.1 7β11 W | 8.9β9.1 7β11 W | 2.5 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 6.3 | 1.7 |
| 7 | Tennessee Tech | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.7β9.3 7β11 W | 8.7β9.3 7β11 W | 2.1 | 5.1 | 9.0 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 6.8 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Mercer | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.8β10.2 6β10 W | 7.8β10.2 6β10 W | 0.8 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 9.2 | 12 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 2.3 |
| 9 | Western Caro. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.1β13.9 2β5 W | 4.1β13.9 2β5 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 8.1 | 17 | 40 | 28 |
| 10 | The Citadel | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.4β15.6 1β3 W | 2.4β15.6 1β3 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 6.9 | 25 | 64 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
ETSUWoffordFurmanSamfordUNC GreensboroChattanoogaTennessee TechMercerWestern Caro.The Citadel