Conference Standings

Sun Belt Tournament Projections(14 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloR1QuartersSemisFinal🏆 Win
1Arkansas St180599%98%73%48%29%
2James Madison179298%95%68%43%26%
3Coastal Carolina168094%85%48%24%11%
4GA Southern165885%72%37%18%9%
5South Alabama163892%78%38%17%7%
6Georgia St162188%73%34%14%6%
7App State156676%58%23%9%4%
8Southern Miss153185%64%24%8%3%
9Louisiana154781%60%22%8%3%
10Troy152479%56%20%7%2%
11Marshall146055%33%10%3%1%
12Old Dominion138446%22%5%1%—
13UL Monroe121412%3%———
14Louisiana Tech12148%3%———

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

Sun Belt Standings
Division winner qualifies for championship gamePreseason projection · 113 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Preseason

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

East Division

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr1234567
1James Madison0–00–0
11.5–4.5
10–13 W
11.5–4.5
10–13 W
241915119.07.14.93.62.41.91.00.50.1<1
2Coastal Carolina0–00–0
10.2–5.8
9–12 W
10.2–5.8
9–12 W
10151413118.87.56.55.14.13.01.90.90.2
3Georgia St0–00–0
9.6–7.4
8–12 W
9.6–7.4
8–12 W
4.88.310111010108.98.26.75.34.01.80.6
4GA Southern0–00–0
8.7–7.3
7–11 W
8.7–7.3
7–11 W
5.97.08.29.09.210109.38.87.86.44.82.70.7
5App State0–00–0
7.8–8.2
6–10 W
7.8–8.2
6–10 W
1.94.06.17.38.69.01010109.49.48.34.81.8
6Marshall0–00–0
6.2–9.8
4–8 W
6.2–9.8
4–8 W
0.51.32.03.04.25.37.08.811131315115.5
7Old Dominion0–00–0
5.6–10.4
4–7 W
5.6–10.4
4–7 W
<10.30.91.52.33.75.57.810141517148.3

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

West Division

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr1234567
1Arkansas St0–00–0
12.6–3.4
11–14 W
12.6–3.4
11–14 W
3923138.65.94.32.51.41.10.40.3<1<1
2South Alabama0–00–0
10.0–7.0
8–12 W
10.0–7.0
8–12 W
6.28.711111211108.97.55.84.12.21.00.3
3Southern Miss0–00–0
8.6–7.4
7–11 W
8.6–7.4
7–11 W
3.65.77.88.9101110109.08.67.04.72.41.1
4Louisiana0–00–0
8.1–7.9
6–10 W
8.1–7.9
6–10 W
2.54.56.07.78.7101111119.58.75.83.31.3
5Troy0–00–0
7.9–8.1
6–10 W
7.9–8.1
6–10 W
1.73.55.17.48.81010111111106.53.21.3
6UL Monroe0–00–0
3.3–12.7
2–4 W
3.3–12.7
2–4 W
<10.10.30.50.81.82.95.19.1162935
7Louisiana Tech0–00–0
2.9–13.1
1–4 W
2.9–13.1
1–4 W
<1<1<10.10.30.71.12.14.07.6142644

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

Arkansas StJames MadisonCoastal CarolinaSouth AlabamaGeorgia StGA SouthernSouthern MissLouisianaTroyApp StateMarshallOld DominionUL MonroeLouisiana Tech
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