2026 AAC Volleyball Championship
🏟 American Athletic
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
American Athletic Tournament Projections(8 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rice | 1844 | 99% | 93% | 77% | 54% |
| 2 | Wichita St. | 1723 | 99% | 81% | 46% | 19% |
| 3 | South Florida | 1721 | 99% | 77% | 42% | 17% |
| 4 | Fla. Atlantic | 1643 | 96% | 66% | 21% | 7% |
| 5 | Charlotte | 1508 | 82% | 27% | 5% | 1% |
| 6 | UAB | 1507 | 81% | 21% | 4% | 1% |
| 7 | UTSA | 1492 | 79% | 17% | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | East Carolina | 1472 | 74% | 11% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | Tulane | 1387 | 53% | 4% | — | — |
| 10 | Memphis | 1334 | 38% | 2% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
American Athletic Standings
8 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-01 · 20 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rice | 0–0 | 0–0 | 20.7–7.3 | 20.7–7.3 | 91 | 9.4 | ||||||||
| 2 | Wichita St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 13.2–8.8 | 13.2–8.8 | 9.4 | 90 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | |||||
| 3 | South Florida | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.2–3.8 | 2.2–3.8 | 0.2 | 32 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Fla. Atlantic | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.2–2.8 | 1.2–2.8 | <1 | 23 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9.4 | ||
| 5 | UAB | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.7–3.3 | 0.7–3.3 | <1 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | ||
| 6 | Charlotte | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.7–3.3 | 0.7–3.3 | <1 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | ||
| 7 | East Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.5–1.5 | 0.5–1.5 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 26 | |||
| 8 | Tulane | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.6–5.4 | 0.6–5.4 | 3.8 | 8.8 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 14 | |||
| 9 | Memphis | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.2–3.8 | 0.2–3.8 | <1 | 3.6 | 7.1 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 19 | ||
| 10 | UTSA | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 100 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
RiceWichita St.South FloridaFla. AtlanticUABCharlotteEast CarolinaTulaneMemphisUTSA