Conference Standings

Atlantic 10 Tournament Projections(10 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloQuartersSemisFinal🏆 Win
1Dayton188999%99%83%62%
2VCU165195%75%36%13%
3Loyola Chicago165096%77%39%13%
4George Washington156589%57%21%6%
5Duquesne147167%32%9%2%
6George Mason143854%24%6%1%
7Davidson141451%20%4%1%
8Saint Louis136334%12%2%—
9Fordham126612%3%——
10Rhode Island11472%1%——

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.

Atlantic 10 Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection · 90 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Preseason

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr12345678910
1Dayton0–00–0
16.2–1.8
15–17 W
16.2–1.8
15–17 W
78164.71.20.3<1<1
2Loyola Chicago0–00–0
12.6–5.4
11–14 W
12.6–5.4
11–14 W
8.43325169.34.82.21.00.3<1
3VCU0–00–0
12.3–5.7
11–14 W
12.3–5.7
11–14 W
9.4262617115.93.01.40.4<1
4George Washington0–00–0
10.9–7.1
9–13 W
10.9–7.1
9–13 W
2.514212217126.63.31.00.3
5Duquesne0–00–0
8.8–9.2
7–11 W
8.8–9.2
7–11 W
0.85.61014181816115.51.6
6George Mason0–00–0
8.0–10.0
6–10 W
8.0–10.0
6–10 W
0.53.06.111161819158.93.0
7Davidson0–00–0
7.6–10.4
6–9 W
7.6–10.4
6–9 W
0.11.84.41015191917103.1
8Saint Louis0–00–0
6.4–11.6
4–8 W
6.4–11.6
4–8 W
0.10.82.35.510151822179.2
9Fordham0–00–0
4.6–13.4
3–6 W
4.6–13.4
3–6 W
0.10.51.33.46.613213322
10Rhode Island0–00–0
2.6–15.4
1–4 W
2.6–15.4
1–4 W
<1<10.51.63.6102461

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

DaytonLoyola ChicagoVCUGeorge WashingtonDuquesneGeorge MasonDavidsonSaint LouisFordhamRhode Island
12345678910PreseasonPosition