Conference Standings
Atlantic 10 Tournament Projections(12 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | R1 | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dayton | 1879 | 99% | 98% | 92% | 92% | 77% |
| 2 | VCU | 1654 | 99% | 90% | 66% | 46% | 13% |
| 3 | George Washington | 1573 | 99% | 76% | 47% | 23% | 4% |
| 4 | Richmond | 1500 | 99% | 54% | 20% | 8% | 1% |
| 5 | St. Bonaventure | 1500 | 99% | 54% | 19% | 8% | 1% |
| 6 | St. Joseph's | 1500 | 99% | 55% | 20% | 9% | 1% |
| 7 | La Salle | 1500 | 99% | 55% | 20% | 8% | 1% |
| 8 | George Mason | 1446 | 99% | 43% | 8% | 3% | β |
| 9 | Davidson | 1420 | 99% | 39% | 5% | 2% | β |
| 10 | Saint Louis | 1369 | 99% | 24% | 2% | 1% | β |
| 11 | Fordham | 1277 | 99% | 10% | β | β | β |
| 12 | Rhode Island | 1163 | 99% | 2% | β | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
Atlantic 10 Standings
12 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-08 Β· 20 games remainingStandings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dayton | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.7β1.3 | 12.7β1.3 | 89 | 11 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | |||||||
| 2 | George Washington | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.3β5.7 | 10.3β5.7 | 11 | 82 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | ||||
| 3 | VCU | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.8β2.2 | 3.8β2.2 | 1.7 | 45 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 4.0 | 1.1 | |||||
| 4 | George Mason | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.2β4.8 | 3.2β4.8 | <1 | 2.9 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 28 | 7.9 | ||||
| 5 | Davidson | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.3β3.7 | 2.3β3.7 | 0.2 | 9.4 | 15 | 22 | 29 | 14 | 10 | |||||
| 6 | Fordham | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.0β5.0 | 3.0β5.0 | 1.0 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 27 | 15 | |||||
| 7 | Saint Louis | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.0β4.0 | 2.0β4.0 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 12 | 20 | 26 | 16 | 18 | |||||
| 8 | Rhode Island | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.8β13.2 | 2.8β13.2 | 1.2 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 6.0 | 10 | 48 | |||||
| 9 | Richmond | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.0β0.0 | 0.0β0.0 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||
| 10 | St. Bonaventure | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.0β0.0 | 0.0β0.0 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||
| 11 | St. Joseph's | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.0β0.0 | 0.0β0.0 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | ||||||||
| 12 | La Salle | 0β0 | 0β0 | 0.0β0.0 | 0.0β0.0 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
DaytonGeorge WashingtonVCUGeorge MasonDavidsonFordhamSaint LouisRhode IslandRichmondSt. BonaventureSt. Joseph'sLa Salle