Conference Standings

Big 12 Tournament Projections(14 teams · 10k simulations)
SeedTeamEloR1QuartersSemisFinal🏆 Win
1Arizona St.216699%98%98%84%62%
2Kansas203299%95%80%53%20%
3Baylor192299%90%56%23%6%
4BYU190999%88%50%15%4%
5Kansas St189199%72%35%10%3%
6TCU187999%70%33%8%2%
7Arizona185999%57%22%4%1%
8Utah180899%43%14%2%1%
9Cincinnati172999%30%6%1%—
10UCF172899%28%5%1%—
11West Virginia156599%12%1%——
12Houston154499%10%1%——
13Texas Tech151599%5%1%——
14Oklahoma St.150099%2%———

Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.

Big 12 Standings
14 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-08 · 109 games remaining

Snapshot Week

Jun 1Jun 8

Standings · Finishing Position Probabilities

#TeamConfOverallProj ConfProj Ovr1234567891011121314
1Kansas0–00–0
31.3–10.7
31.3–10.7
70235.01.40.40.3<1<1
2Arizona St.0–00–0
27.3–4.7
27.3–4.7
2657133.31.10.40.1<1
3Arizona0–00–0
22.1–19.9
22.1–19.9
2.710271914107.24.72.81.10.50.1<1
4Kansas St0–00–0
19.3–12.7
19.3–12.7
0.43.217211815117.24.72.30.60.2
5Baylor0–00–0
19.2–12.8
19.2–12.8
0.53.816191814118.45.02.50.60.1<1
6TCU0–00–0
18.5–17.5
18.5–17.5
0.52.41113161614128.05.02.00.6<1
7BYU0–00–0
16.9–11.1
16.9–11.1
<10.98.214171816128.13.91.10.2<1
8Utah0–00–0
14.7–17.3
14.7–17.3
<10.32.45.07.711151718147.12.40.6
9UCF0–00–0
12.8–15.2
12.8–15.2
<10.61.74.37.813182118104.51.3
10Cincinnati0–00–0
12.9–19.1
12.9–19.1
<10.61.73.66.510141822146.81.8
11West Virginia0–00–0
9.0–25.0
9.0–25.0
<1<10.20.71.63.27.013282917
12Houston0–00–0
7.4–22.6
7.4–22.6
<1<10.30.92.05.212253124
13Texas Tech0–00–0
6.5–29.5
6.5–29.5
<1<1<10.20.51.84.8122655
14Oklahoma St.0–00–0
0.0–0.0
0.0–0.0
100

Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).

Finishing Position Range — Season Progression

KansasArizona St.ArizonaKansas StBaylorTCUBYUUtahUCFCincinnatiWest VirginiaHoustonTexas TechOklahoma St.
1234567891011121314Jun 1Jun 8Position