2026 Big Ten Volleyball Tournament
π Big Tenπ Fishers, Indianaπ November 20 β November 25
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Big Ten Tournament Projections(18 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | R1 | R2 | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | 2384 | 99% | 99% | 99% | 90% | 74% | 53% |
| 2 | Wisconsin | 2264 | 99% | 99% | 98% | 79% | 50% | 23% |
| 3 | Purdue | 2134 | 99% | 99% | 91% | 56% | 23% | 8% |
| 4 | Southern California | 2076 | 99% | 99% | 84% | 44% | 16% | 5% |
| 5 | Minnesota | 2027 | 99% | 98% | 77% | 34% | 10% | 3% |
| 6 | Penn St. | 2032 | 99% | 97% | 75% | 30% | 10% | 3% |
| 7 | Indiana | 1976 | 99% | 94% | 66% | 22% | 6% | 2% |
| 8 | UCLA | 1933 | 99% | 91% | 56% | 17% | 5% | 1% |
| 9 | Michigan | 1900 | 99% | 85% | 45% | 11% | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | Oregon | 1875 | 98% | 82% | 40% | 8% | 2% | β |
| 11 | Michigan St | 1753 | 89% | 56% | 18% | 3% | β | β |
| 12 | Washington | 1772 | 92% | 60% | 19% | 2% | β | β |
| 13 | Illinois | 1728 | 85% | 48% | 13% | 1% | β | β |
| 14 | Northwestern | 1677 | 78% | 37% | 8% | 1% | β | β |
| 15 | Iowa | 1651 | 70% | 29% | 6% | 1% | β | β |
| 16 | Ohio St. | 1569 | 44% | 14% | 2% | β | β | β |
| 17 | Maryland | 1487 | 27% | 7% | 1% | β | β | β |
| 18 | Rutgers | 1468 | 20% | 4% | β | β | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Big Ten Standings
15 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 153 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska | 0β0 | 0β0 | 15.7β1.3 15β17 W | 15.7β1.3 15β17 W | 64 | 22 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | <1 | ||||||||
| 2 | Wisconsin | 0β0 | 0β0 | 14.4β2.6 13β16 W | 14.4β2.6 13β16 W | 22 | 33 | 21 | 11 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | |||||
| 3 | Purdue | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.8β4.2 12β14 W | 12.8β4.2 12β14 W | 6.3 | 17 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 9.3 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | ||||
| 4 | Southern California | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.1β4.9 11β14 W | 12.1β4.9 11β14 W | 3.2 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | ||
| 5 | Minnesota | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.4β5.6 10β13 W | 11.4β5.6 10β13 W | 1.7 | 6.0 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | |
| 6 | Penn St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.1β5.9 10β13 W | 11.1β5.9 10β13 W | 1.4 | 5.1 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 7.9 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 |
| 7 | Indiana | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.5β6.5 9β12 W | 10.5β6.5 9β12 W | 0.7 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | <1 | |
| 8 | UCLA | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.8β7.2 8β11 W | 9.8β7.2 8β11 W | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 9 | Michigan | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.0β8.0 7β11 W | 9.0β8.0 7β11 W | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 8.8 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 10 | Oregon | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.5β8.5 7β10 W | 8.5β8.5 7β10 W | <1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 9.2 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9.4 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 11 | Washington | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.8β10.2 5β8 W | 6.8β10.2 5β8 W | <1 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Michigan St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.5β10.5 5β8 W | 6.5β10.5 5β8 W | <1 | <1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 5.2 | 8.1 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 8.8 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Illinois | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.1β10.9 4β8 W | 6.1β10.9 4β8 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| 14 | Northwestern | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.3β11.7 4β7 W | 5.3β11.7 4β7 W | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 8.4 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 7.2 | 3.8 | |
| 15 | Iowa | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.7β12.3 3β6 W | 4.7β12.3 3β6 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5.9 | ||
| 16 | Ohio St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.5β13.5 2β5 W | 3.5β13.5 2β5 W | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 15 | |||
| 17 | Maryland | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.6β14.4 1β4 W | 2.6β14.4 1β4 W | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 11 | 17 | 25 | 32 | ||||
| 18 | Rutgers | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.3β14.7 1β3 W | 2.3β14.7 1β3 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 9.3 | 16 | 26 | 38 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
NebraskaWisconsinPurdueSouthern CaliforniaMinnesotaPenn St.IndianaUCLAMichiganOregonWashingtonMichigan StIllinoisNorthwesternIowaOhio St.MarylandRutgers