2026 Horizon League Volleyball Tournament
π Horizon
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
Horizon Tournament Projections(11 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright St. | 1651 | 99% | 91% | 64% | 40% |
| 2 | Northern Ky. | 1612 | 97% | 85% | 56% | 31% |
| 3 | Milwaukee | 1444 | 74% | 47% | 19% | 8% |
| 4 | IU Indy | 1444 | 76% | 47% | 19% | 7% |
| 5 | Youngstown St. | 1407 | 78% | 47% | 17% | 6% |
| 6 | Green Bay | 1401 | 64% | 36% | 13% | 5% |
| 7 | Northern Illinois | 1310 | 32% | 15% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | Oakland | 1253 | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | Cleveland St. | 1238 | 26% | 10% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | Robert Morris | 1232 | 27% | 10% | 2% | β |
| 11 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 1092 | 3% | 1% | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Horizon Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 88 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wright St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.9β3.1 12β14 W | 12.9β3.1 12β14 W | 47 | 26 | 13 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | Northern Ky. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.2β3.8 11β14 W | 12.2β3.8 11β14 W | 32 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 3 | Youngstown St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.6β6.4 8β12 W | 9.6β6.4 8β12 W | 5.3 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 4 | IU Indy | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.3β6.7 8β11 W | 9.3β6.7 8β11 W | 6.1 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 5 | Milwaukee | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.1β6.9 7β11 W | 9.1β6.9 7β11 W | 5.3 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 6 | Green Bay | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.4β7.6 7β10 W | 8.4β7.6 7β10 W | 3.2 | 6.7 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| 7 | Northern Illinois | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.2β9.8 4β8 W | 6.2β9.8 4β8 W | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 9.2 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 7.4 |
| 8 | Robert Morris | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.0β10.0 4β8 W | 6.0β10.0 4β8 W | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 7.4 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 10 |
| 9 | Cleveland St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.8β10.2 4β8 W | 5.8β10.2 4β8 W | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 7.1 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 |
| 10 | Oakland | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.6β10.4 4β7 W | 5.6β10.4 4β7 W | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 13 |
| 11 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.9β13.1 1β4 W | 2.9β13.1 1β4 W | <1 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 12 | 23 | 53 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Wright St.Northern Ky.Youngstown St.IU IndyMilwaukeeGreen BayNorthern IllinoisRobert MorrisCleveland St.OaklandPurdue Fort Wayne