2026 MAAC Volleyball Tournament
🏟 MAAC
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
MAAC Tournament Projections(8 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 1616 | 99% | 96% | 86% | 61% |
| 2 | Mount St. Mary's | 1500 | 99% | 90% | 59% | 24% |
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 1420 | 98% | 81% | 34% | 11% |
| 4 | Rider | 1316 | 93% | 62% | 13% | 4% |
| 5 | Niagara | 1195 | 74% | 27% | 3% | 1% |
| 6 | Canisius | 1179 | 70% | 19% | 2% | — |
| 7 | Sacred Heart | 1149 | 64% | 11% | 1% | — |
| 8 | Siena | 1096 | 48% | 5% | — | — |
| 9 | Merrimack | 1092 | 48% | 4% | — | — |
| 10 | Iona | 1086 | 47% | 3% | — | — |
| 11 | Marist | 1073 | 42% | 2% | — | — |
| 12 | Saint Peter's | 917 | 11% | — | — | — |
| 13 | Manhattan | 859 | 5% | — | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
MAAC Standings
8 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-08 · 31 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 0–0 | 0–0 | 29.0–3.0 | 29.0–3.0 | 99 | <1 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Iona | 0–0 | 0–0 | 12.9–19.1 | 12.9–19.1 | <1 | 96 | 2.5 | 0.4 | <1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | ||
| 3 | Quinnipiac | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–3.5 | 4.5–3.5 | 2.0 | 37 | 23 | 16 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | |||
| 4 | Rider | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.8–4.2 | 3.8–4.2 | 0.9 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.8 | |||
| 5 | Siena | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.2–3.8 | 2.2–3.8 | 0.2 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 8.7 | 8.2 | 8.2 | |||
| 6 | Marist | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.1–3.9 | 2.1–3.9 | 0.3 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9.0 | 9.2 | 9.5 | |||
| 7 | Sacred Heart | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.6–4.4 | 1.6–4.4 | <1 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 9.3 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
| 8 | Niagara | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.5–4.5 | 1.5–4.5 | <1 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | |||
| 9 | Merrimack | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.2–5.8 | 2.2–5.8 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 8.1 | 10 | 7.3 | 8.2 | 15 | 19 | 17 | 11 | |||
| 10 | Canisius | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.4–4.6 | 1.4–4.6 | <1 | 3.3 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | |||
| 11 | Manhattan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.9–5.1 | 0.9–5.1 | <1 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 7.5 | 8.9 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 29 | |||
| 12 | Mount St. Mary's | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 51 | 49 | |||||||||||
| 13 | Saint Peter's | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 49 | 51 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
FairfieldIonaQuinnipiacRiderSienaMaristSacred HeartNiagaraMerrimackCanisiusManhattanMount St. Mary'sSaint Peter's