2026 MAAC Volleyball Tournament
π MAAC
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
MAAC Tournament Projections(12 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 1587 | 99% | 99% | 87% | 67% |
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 1380 | 98% | 89% | 55% | 19% |
| 3 | Rider | 1273 | 92% | 67% | 26% | 7% |
| 4 | Niagara | 1150 | 63% | 35% | 9% | 2% |
| 5 | Canisius | 1134 | 57% | 31% | 8% | 2% |
| 6 | Sacred Heart | 1106 | 43% | 21% | 4% | 1% |
| 7 | Siena | 1047 | 39% | 16% | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | Merrimack | 1045 | 33% | 14% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | Iona | 1039 | 38% | 15% | 3% | β |
| 10 | Marist | 1024 | 30% | 12% | 2% | β |
| 11 | Saint Peter's | 857 | 4% | 1% | β | β |
| 12 | Manhattan | 802 | 2% | β | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
MAAC Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 108 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fairfield | 0β0 | 0β0 | 16.5β1.5 16β18 W | 16.5β1.5 16β18 W | 77 | 17 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | <1 | <1 | <1 | ||||
| 2 | Quinnipiac | 0β0 | 0β0 | 14.1β3.9 13β16 W | 14.1β3.9 13β16 W | 16 | 45 | 22 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | <1 | <1 | |
| 3 | Rider | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.4β5.6 11β14 W | 12.4β5.6 11β14 W | 4.5 | 20 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | <1 |
| 4 | Niagara | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.7β8.3 8β12 W | 9.7β8.3 8β12 W | 0.9 | 5.5 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 5 | Canisius | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.2β8.8 7β11 W | 9.2β8.8 7β11 W | 0.7 | 4.1 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8.6 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 6 | Sacred Heart | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.2β9.8 6β10 W | 8.2β9.8 6β10 W | 0.2 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 9.4 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 2.0 |
| 7 | Siena | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.9β10.1 6β10 W | 7.9β10.1 6β10 W | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 8.4 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 7.5 | 3.7 |
| 8 | Iona | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.9β10.1 6β10 W | 7.9β10.1 6β10 W | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 8.4 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 7.8 | 3.5 |
| 9 | Merrimack | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.6β10.4 6β9 W | 7.6β10.4 6β9 W | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 7.0 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 8.2 | 4.0 |
| 10 | Marist | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.2β10.8 5β9 W | 7.2β10.8 5β9 W | <1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 6.2 | 8.8 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 5.1 |
| 11 | Saint Peter's | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.0β14.0 2β5 W | 4.0β14.0 2β5 W | <1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 9.5 | 17 | 29 | 32 | |
| 12 | Manhattan | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.3β14.7 2β5 W | 3.3β14.7 2β5 W | <1 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 13 | 26 | 48 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
FairfieldQuinnipiacRiderNiagaraCanisiusSacred HeartSienaIonaMerrimackMaristSaint Peter'sManhattan