2026 MAC Volleyball Championship
π MAC
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
MAC Tournament Projections(11 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ball State | 1727 | 97% | 87% | 60% | 38% |
| 2 | W Michigan | 1618 | 89% | 67% | 36% | 17% |
| 3 | Toledo | 1616 | 85% | 65% | 34% | 16% |
| 4 | Bowling Green | 1582 | 84% | 58% | 27% | 12% |
| 5 | Ohio | 1532 | 69% | 42% | 17% | 7% |
| 6 | Akron | 1486 | 68% | 38% | 14% | 5% |
| 7 | Miami (OH) | 1419 | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% |
| 8 | C Michigan | 1360 | 29% | 11% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | E Michigan | 1328 | 24% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | Buffalo | 1330 | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| 11 | Kent State | 1151 | 1% | β | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
MAC Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 89 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ball State | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.5β3.5 11β14 W | 12.5β3.5 11β14 W | 43 | 23 | 14 | 8.8 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | |
| 2 | W Michigan | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.8β5.2 9β13 W | 10.8β5.2 9β13 W | 15 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 8.3 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | Toledo | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.0β6.0 9β13 W | 11.0β6.0 9β13 W | 17 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | Bowling Green | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.7β6.3 9β13 W | 10.7β6.3 9β13 W | 13 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 5 | Ohio | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.9β7.1 7β11 W | 8.9β7.1 7β11 W | 5.9 | 9.2 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 6 | Akron | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.9β7.1 7β11 W | 8.9β7.1 7β11 W | 4.4 | 9.2 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9.1 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 7 | Miami (OH) | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.7β9.3 5β8 W | 6.7β9.3 5β8 W | 0.9 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 6.9 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 5.1 |
| 8 | C Michigan | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.3β9.7 5β8 W | 6.3β9.7 5β8 W | 0.6 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 8.0 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 6.2 |
| 9 | E Michigan | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.7β10.3 4β7 W | 5.7β10.3 4β7 W | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 9.4 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 12 |
| 10 | Buffalo | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.2β10.8 3β7 W | 5.2β10.8 3β7 W | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 7.0 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 25 | 12 |
| 11 | Kent State | 0β0 | 0β0 | 2.4β13.6 1β3 W | 2.4β13.6 1β3 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 21 | 63 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Ball StateW MichiganToledoBowling GreenOhioAkronMiami (OH)C MichiganE MichiganBuffaloKent State