2026 Mountain West Volleyball Championship
π Mountain West
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Mountain West Tournament Projections(10 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTEP | 1881 | 99% | 95% | 71% | 45% |
| 2 | UC Davis | 1813 | 99% | 89% | 58% | 30% |
| 3 | Wyoming | 1682 | 88% | 63% | 27% | 11% |
| 4 | Grand Canyon | 1588 | 70% | 38% | 13% | 4% |
| 5 | Hawai'i | 1589 | 73% | 41% | 12% | 4% |
| 6 | San JosΓ© St | 1540 | 50% | 24% | 7% | 2% |
| 7 | UNLV | 1521 | 50% | 22% | 6% | 2% |
| 8 | New Mexico | 1465 | 32% | 13% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | Air Force | 1459 | 31% | 12% | 3% | 1% |
| 10 | Nevada | 1353 | 9% | 3% | β | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
Mountain West Standings
6 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 90 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTEP | 0β0 | 0β0 | 15.0β3.0 14β17 W | 15.0β3.0 14β17 W | 56 | 26 | 10 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | <1 | |
| 2 | UC Davis | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.8β4.2 12β15 W | 13.8β4.2 12β15 W | 29 | 36 | 19 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | <1 |
| 3 | Wyoming | 0β0 | 0β0 | 11.2β6.8 9β13 W | 11.2β6.8 9β13 W | 8.3 | 17 | 24 | 18 | 13 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 4 | Hawai'i | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.3β8.7 7β11 W | 9.3β8.7 7β11 W | 1.9 | 6.4 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Grand Canyon | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.1β8.9 7β11 W | 9.1β8.9 7β11 W | 2.7 | 6.7 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 3.4 |
| 6 | UNLV | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.6β10.4 6β10 W | 7.6β10.4 6β10 W | 0.6 | 2.2 | 6.6 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 6.3 |
| 7 | San JosΓ© St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 7.6β10.4 5β10 W | 7.6β10.4 5β10 W | 1.2 | 3.4 | 7.0 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 8.8 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.2β11.8 4β8 W | 6.2β11.8 4β8 W | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 9.1 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 15 |
| 9 | Air Force | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.2β11.8 4β8 W | 6.2β11.8 4β8 W | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 9.2 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | Nevada | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.8β14.2 2β5 W | 3.8β14.2 2β5 W | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 7.7 | 12 | 22 | 49 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
UTEPUC DavisWyomingHawai'iGrand CanyonUNLVSan JosΓ© StNew MexicoAir ForceNevada