2026 MVC Volleyball Tournament
🏟 Missouri Valley
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Missouri Valley Tournament Projections(8 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UIC | 1644 | 99% | 94% | 77% | 51% |
| 2 | Valparaiso | 1558 | 99% | 90% | 54% | 25% |
| 3 | Illinois St. | 1530 | 99% | 74% | 36% | 15% |
| 4 | Belmont | 1429 | 99% | 54% | 15% | 5% |
| 5 | Bradley | 1400 | 98% | 45% | 11% | 3% |
| 6 | Southern Ill. | 1363 | 96% | 27% | 5% | 2% |
| 7 | Murray St. | 1185 | 74% | 7% | — | — |
| 8 | Indiana St. | 1169 | 70% | 6% | — | — |
| 9 | Evansville | 1149 | 64% | 3% | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
Missouri Valley Standings
8 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-08 · 6 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Ill. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.2–5.8 | 6.2–5.8 | 78 | 15 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 6.4 | ||||
| 2 | Bradley | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.2–1.8 | 2.2–1.8 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 31 | 14 | ||||
| 3 | Valparaiso | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.4–0.6 | 1.4–0.6 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 16 | |||||
| 4 | Belmont | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.3–0.7 | 1.3–0.7 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 20 | |||||
| 5 | Evansville | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.9–3.1 | 0.9–3.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 13 | 38 | 42 | ||||
| 6 | Indiana St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 24 | |||||
| 7 | Murray St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | |||||
| 8 | Illinois St. | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | |||||
| 9 | UIC | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 26 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Southern Ill.BradleyValparaisoBelmontEvansvilleIndiana St.Murray St.Illinois St.UIC