2026 NEC Volleyball Tournament
π NEC
Semifinals
Championship
NEC Tournament Projections(8 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIU | 1451 | 99% | 80% | 53% |
| 2 | FDU | 1352 | 99% | 74% | 35% |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 1152 | 76% | 22% | 7% |
| 4 | Central Conn. St. | 1048 | 42% | 9% | 2% |
| 5 | New Haven | 1035 | 39% | 8% | 2% |
| 6 | Chicago St. | 986 | 23% | 4% | 1% |
| 7 | Stonehill | 954 | 19% | 3% | 1% |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 858 | 4% | 1% | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeds reflect average simulated finish position.
NEC Standings
4 qualify for tournamentPreseason projection Β· 58 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FDU | 0β0 | 0β0 | 12.9β3.1 12β14 W | 12.9β3.1 12β14 W | 72 | 16 | 8.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | <1 | <1 |
| 2 | LIU | 0β0 | 0β0 | 10.3β1.7 10β11 W | 10.3β1.7 10β11 W | 14 | 53 | 27 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 |
| 3 | Mercyhurst | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.4β8.6 8β11 W | 9.4β8.6 8β11 W | 12 | 21 | 26 | 17 | 11 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| 4 | Central Conn. St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.1β5.9 5β8 W | 6.1β5.9 5β8 W | 0.4 | 3.1 | 13 | 26 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 5.0 |
| 5 | New Haven | 0β0 | 0β0 | 6.2β7.8 5β8 W | 6.2β7.8 5β8 W | 0.5 | 3.5 | 12 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 13 | 7.0 |
| 6 | Chicago St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 5.3β8.7 4β7 W | 5.3β8.7 4β7 W | 0.1 | 1.5 | 6.9 | 15 | 20 | 24 | 21 | 12 |
| 7 | Stonehill | 0β0 | 0β0 | 4.9β11.1 3β7 W | 4.9β11.1 3β7 W | 0.6 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | Le Moyne | 0β0 | 0β0 | 3.0β11.0 2β4 W | 3.0β11.0 2β4 W | <1 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 7.0 | 14 | 26 | 49 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
FDULIUMercyhurstCentral Conn. St.New HavenChicago St.StonehillLe Moyne