Conference Standings
Pac-12 Tournament Projections(9 teams Β· 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | R1 | Quarters | Semis | Final | π Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas St. | 1781 | 99% | 99% | 99% | 99% | 72% |
| 2 | Oregon St. | 1671 | 99% | 86% | 65% | 41% | 14% |
| 3 | Washington St. | 1609 | 99% | 81% | 50% | 25% | 6% |
| 4 | San Diego St | 1576 | 99% | 61% | 31% | 14% | 3% |
| 5 | Colorado St | 1500 | 99% | 47% | 16% | 6% | 1% |
| 6 | Boise St | 1500 | 99% | 46% | 16% | 6% | 1% |
| 7 | Utah State | 1500 | 99% | 46% | 16% | 6% | 1% |
| 8 | Fresno St | 1364 | 99% | 20% | 3% | 1% | β |
| 9 | Gonzaga | 1358 | 99% | 14% | 3% | 1% | β |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
Pac-12 Standings
9 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-01 Β· 60 games remainingSnapshot Week
Standings Β· Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 26.0β6.0 | 26.0β6.0 | 87 | 11 | 2.0 | 0.2 | <1 | <1 | |||
| 2 | Washington St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 19.1β12.9 | 19.1β12.9 | 8.6 | 47 | 29 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | San Diego St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 17.7β14.3 | 17.7β14.3 | 4.7 | 33 | 37 | 14 | 5.6 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | Oregon St. | 0β0 | 0β0 | 13.1β6.9 | 13.1β6.9 | 0.1 | 6.2 | 20 | 37 | 19 | 10 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 5 | Colorado St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.2β10.8 | 9.2β10.8 | <1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 10 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 11 |
| 6 | Boise St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.2β10.8 | 9.2β10.8 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 11 | |
| 7 | Utah State | 0β0 | 0β0 | 9.1β10.9 | 9.1β10.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 11 | |
| 8 | Fresno St | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.4β23.6 | 8.4β23.6 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 6.0 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 22 | 32 | |
| 9 | Gonzaga | 0β0 | 0β0 | 8.2β23.8 | 8.2β23.8 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 9.1 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 34 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range β Season Progression
Texas St.Washington St.San Diego StOregon St.Colorado StBoise StUtah StateFresno StGonzaga