2026 MAC Volleyball Championship
🏟 MAC
First Round
Semifinals
Championship
MAC Tournament Projections(6 teams · 10k simulations)
| Seed | Team | Elo | Quarters | Semis | Final | 🏆 Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ball State | 1722 | 95% | 82% | 82% | 56% |
| 2 | Toledo | 1613 | 83% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
| 3 | W Michigan | 1613 | 83% | 53% | 32% | 14% |
| 4 | Bowling Green | 1576 | 76% | 39% | 21% | 8% |
| 5 | Ohio | 1530 | 65% | 27% | 13% | 4% |
| 6 | UMass | 1500 | 56% | 19% | 8% | 2% |
| 7 | Akron | 1485 | 54% | 15% | 6% | 2% |
| 8 | Miami (OH) | 1418 | 35% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | C Michigan | 1359 | 22% | 3% | 1% | — |
| 10 | E Michigan | 1327 | 16% | 2% | — | — |
| 11 | NIU | 1310 | 14% | 1% | — | — |
| 12 | Kent State | 1152 | 1% | — | — | — |
Values = P(reach that stage or further). Win = P(win conference tournament = auto NCAA bid). Seeded by Elo.
MAC Standings
6 qualify for tournamentThrough 2026-06-01 · 76 games remainingStandings · Finishing Position Probabilities
| # | Team | Conf | Overall | Proj Conf | Proj Ovr | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ball State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 21.6–6.4 | 21.6–6.4 | 45 | 25 | 14 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | <1 | <1 | ||
| 2 | Toledo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 20.6–11.4 | 20.6–11.4 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | <1 | ||
| 3 | Bowling Green | 0–0 | 0–0 | 19.6–12.4 | 19.6–12.4 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | <1 | ||
| 4 | W Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 18.3–9.7 | 18.3–9.7 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | <1 | ||
| 5 | Ohio | 0–0 | 0–0 | 16.4–13.6 | 16.4–13.6 | 3.9 | 7.8 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 0.2 | ||
| 6 | Miami (OH) | 0–0 | 0–0 | 16.6–23.4 | 16.6–23.4 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 8.0 | 13 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 3.4 | 0.1 | ||
| 7 | Akron | 0–0 | 0–0 | 15.0–13.0 | 15.0–13.0 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 12 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 5.0 | 0.4 | ||
| 8 | C Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 10.1–17.9 | 10.1–17.9 | <1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 15 | 33 | 35 | 5.2 | ||
| 9 | E Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 9.6–18.4 | 9.6–18.4 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 6.1 | 13 | 29 | 41 | 7.4 | ||
| 10 | Kent State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.2–25.8 | 4.2–25.8 | <1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 11 | 87 | ||||||
| 11 | UMass | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 51 | 49 | ||||||||||
| 12 | NIU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.0–0.0 | 0.0–0.0 | 49 | 51 |
Position columns: % of 10,000 simulated seasons finishing there. Row below cut line = P(reach tournament).
Finishing Position Range — Season Progression
Ball StateToledoOhioBowling GreenAkronW MichiganMiami (OH)C MichiganE MichiganKent StateUMassNIU